2345 CST - I officially call bedtime. Reactions on the 'morrow.
2340 CST - The House, in Brief - Fox News reports the house majority for the Dems at 7 seats. This is likely to grow. Whether this margin grows depends a lot on Arizona, New Mexico, and similar states. Either way, expect impeachment proceedings to gain momentum in February.
2304 CST - The Senate, in Brief. With about 98% certainty, the curent count is 48-47-1 to the Repubs (counting Lieberman as a Democrat, also assume the indie Jeffords votes with the Dems). Call it 90% Repub Corker will probably win in TN (I really wanted them to call TN for Corker, just so I could link to Harold Ford Jr. saying 'Repubs fear the Lord, but Demos fear and love the Lord'. Classic. It may deserve a separate post.) This means it's 49-47-1 Repubs. So, to win the senate, Dems must win Missouri (Talent over McCaskill, but much of the remaining polling to be done is in St. Louis and KC), Montana (Burns losing early in Dem-favors precincts, but capable of winning), Maryland (huge upet if Steele wins this one, nobody really knows where he would pick up the votes to win it), and Virginia (Webb ahead by 3000ish, out of millions, but a recount is coming). Overall, Dems are in a decent position to pull each of these off, but asking for all four is a tall order.
2253 CST - Fox News says the Senate will not be decided tonight. Ames Trib has many of the state races for the Dems, with a lone exception being Secretary of Agriculture, which is a dead heat.
2240 CST - Semi-back. Corker looks good, The WaPo uncalled Cardin in MD, but Fox has not. Allen's still tight (will probably go to a recount).
2200 CST - Gotta get Pokey Sticks. Later.
2155 CST - Harry Reid: "For six years, we've had no legislative branch of government." Ramblings about Halliburton. Mumbles about overtures to Repub leadership. And Heath Shuler is projected to win.
2150 CST - Fox just called Iowa's Gov race for Culver. Polling from the Register, the Trib, and KCCI.com corroborate this.
2132 CST - Fox News projected that Ohio and Missouri have voted to raise the minimum wage. Two words: price floors. Ridiculous. Ho hum.
2124 CST - Chris Wallace just interviewed John McCain, and asked the 'Journalists' Gold Star $16000 question': "are you part of the problem, or part of the solution?". Wowwy wowsa. I got nothing. I mean, what do they expect him to say? Excuse me sir, but are you in fact the worst Senator ever, and should you resign immediately?
2118 CST - The Ames Trib reports only a 27.1% turnout the hour before the polls closed. Weak.
UPDATE - This includes a 47% turnout at hyper-mega-super-awesome Stonebrook Community Church.
2114 CST - The Ames Tribune is reporting early Iowa returns. Not good for Nussle. Then again, it may be the precincts that are in. Consider: the results only show a 53-47 edge for Latham, which seems low. Wait and see.
UPDATE - A housemate just came in and argued that Nussle's place on the House Finance Commitee is what sank him. I countered that it was more his generic Washington connection (I remember seeing at least one ad to that effect). Good times
2104 CST - The Register is back, and has a couple of fun articles. In the first, Yepsen reports that 93% of absentee ballots received in Iowa will be valid, which is an improvement over the 75% of ballots voted in 2004. In the other, the Register reports that first time voters are greater in number than in previous years. In fact, "polls are swamped." There should be some kind of law about using the word 'swamped' to describe polls or the actions of voters. In fact, unless your car will not start and you're trapped in a swamp, do not use the word swamped. Please. It's quite swamptious. [New word alarm]
2100 CST - Corker, Talent ahead by margins. Allen still holds his tiny lead. Iowa just closed, too. I'm getting a "service unavailable" message from the Des Moines Register page. Just another average top of the hour.
2054 CST - Polls close in Iowa in 5 minutes. Just saying.
2046 CST - For something slightly different, much of the criticism of Republicans has been on he conduct of the Iraq War. For a different perspective, I submit a Bob Woodward interview of Donald Rumsfeld. I admit to have enough of a life to have read only half of it (it's loooong), but one gets a fair glimpse of why there are not 2 million US troops occupying Iraq a la post-Nazi Germany. In short, Rumsfeld feels that short term losses are offst by the building of Iraqi security forces and national spirit. This is a debatable point, but a least discussion of the issue with this intent in mind can possibly surpass, "Bush lied, people died". Is that too much to ask? Yes? Bummer.
2041 CST - Fox News called Maryland's Gov race for O'Malley over Ehrlich. This does not bode well for Michael Steele. Either that, or I already missed the networks call that Senate race for Cardin. Whoops. Also, Chafee appears to have lost in RI some time ago. As an act of contrition, I will continue blogging.
2039 CST - The White House is supposedly optimistic about the House. They see extra seats in play in Georgia. I see Reagan-esque optimism (not always a good thing).
UPDATE - Fox News calls the two Georgia House seats 'too close to call'. Also, note that Georgians are voting on an eminent domain resolution, which helps Repub turnout.
2035 CST - No real upsets so far. Dems won some House races in Indiana that may presage House gains of 20+ seats. It appears more unlikely that Dem House gains will exceed 30. Yawn.
2019 CST - Our floor is crazy civic. My roommate got a ride to Des Moines to vote today at the last minute (after I repeatedly told him he would not be able to vote in Story County without reregistering), and I have an exclusive report that Kirk Monnier just finished voting in Waterloo (ardent voter Andrew Teply helped drive him out there). I captured an exclusive interview with Mr. Monnier:
BMW - Do you realize that many consider driving from Ames to Waterloo to vote to be out of the mainstream?
Kirk - I suppose.
BMW - Did you foam at the mouth while voting?
Kirk - [laughs]
BMW - That's enough, crazy man. Does your fanaticism to vote ever drive you to pillage the homes of innocent nonvoters and drink their blood and drive to Waterloo?
Kirk - What?
BMW - I'll ask the questions here, psycho. When will you stop your endless tirade of casting votes for the most qualified candidates in each given race that has resulted in oh so much suffering and pain?
Kirk - Only on Thursdays.
BMW - Final question. Could God create a burrito so hot, he couldn't eat it.
Kirk - I dunno.
We report 'em skewered, you decide how you want 'em cooked.
2014 CST - Lieberman appears to win in Connecticut, and Ken Mehlman is on TV. Joy!
1939 CST - Back with food from Clyde's. Santorum loses, Menendez appears to win. I will say it one more time: until he finishes his current term, Rick Santorum is the best thing the US Senate had going for it. On a different note, Corker is up somewhat, as is Allen by a razor thin margin.
1912 CST - I'm off for food.
1904 CST - Steve Barnes is discussing the Heath Shuler candidacy on Fox News. In case you forgot Heath Shuler, he played QB for the Redskins fairly poorly, and is now running for Congress. He is of the rarest breed (a pro-life Dem) and has not commited to voting for Pelosi for Speaker. The humorous side is Stop Shuler, a blog dedicated to destroying Heath Shuler's campaign, all because of his NFL career. Admittedly, he did decline a debate challenge with the ludicrous excuse that he 'does not work on Sundays'
1858 CST - The Ames Tribune has decided that voters are 'swarming' to polls. Methinks 15.8% turnout at 3pm is not a swarm. Correct me if I'm mistaken. Despite that, props are sent to the hall at hyper-mega-super-awesome Stonebrook Community Church.
1853 CST - I tried. I switched to CNN to get a different perspective, but they now have Jack Cafferty and Lou Dobbs in a free-form discussion. Back to Fox News ... Maybe I'll try PBS when Iowa polls close.
1841 CST - Speaking of referenda and candidates, I wonder to what degree minimum wage referenda on ballots today will boost Dem candidates by encouraging turnout. I don't imagine the effect will be too significant, but I have otherwise come across no mention of such effect. FYI, proposals are on the ballot in stats with pivotal races like Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Montana, and Ohio.
1832 CST - Fox may be calling the passage of the Virginia Marriage Amendment. Of course, this helps Allen, but only to a significant degree, considering Webb isn't too far left of center. This is where the idea that a focus on national issues helps Dems proves less than certain. People with national focus are more likely to vote 'the lesser of two evils', which favors the incumbent and encourages voters that come out for the vote more for referenda to vote for similar (otherwise unpopular) incumbents. This is generally regarded as a distinct function of Republican candidates.
1827 CST - My dad just sent me links to bowling videos. Some people just lack perspective;)
1822 CST - Nothing decided yet, but apparently the AARP is sponsering Fox News' coverage of the election. I don'tknow what that means.
1806 CST - I just got a call about the graduating class gift. Believe it or not, I said no.
1802 CST - Fox just called VA's senate race 'too close to call.' This is not a surprise. I've been pretty supportive of George Allen, even predicting that he would win the 2008 Republican presidential nod about a year ago. This possibility seems more remote, but I still think he is a solid candidate, and he is not a racist (That I have to say that is somewhat surreal to me).
1739 CST - Wow.
1731 CST - The Huffington Post publishes Nancy Pelosi's call for your vote. Wow. Wow. I don't know where to start, so let's be arbitrary: How does minimum wage legislation get linked to congressional pay raises? Seriously, they're two different things. There is nothing hipocritical about voting against forcing a price floor on labor while increasing incentives for public service. Wow. Cutting interest rates for student loans in half, is that on federal loans, or is that a mandate for all student loans. As a student reliant on loans for my education, I support neither. It just keeps going. Wow.
1722 CST - If you are concerned about the voting process in Iowa, check out IowaVoters.org. It sems kosher.
1717 CST - A sad story. Apparently, for those of you that get to my blog via PlanetRock, the top of this post does not update. Therefore, in the middle of the post, I will be including a 'last updated' label. Now you can be uber-nerdy in real time.
UPDATE: That doesn't appear to work. Oh well. [Sob]
1709 CST - A fun story. So Teply, Jacob, Kirk and I were having fun dreaming of all the things to do with Alka-Seltzer, and I decide that it would have been amazing to go vote, pop an Alka Seltzer in my mouth while voting a Democratic ticket, and come out foaming while asking for a new ballot. My suspicion is that nobody at the polling station would find that as funny as I would. The amazing thing about that conversation was that there were 5+ ideas even better than that one.
1704 CST - Exit polls out, and Fox News' seems to conform with prior polls. I know nothing (and I contend few others do) about what changed in exit polls today versus 2004, so I'm expecting a Dem skew. To what effect? [Cue cheesily dramatic music]. I was honestly hoping for anything that has not been said yet, but no luck. Maybe I should just go watch Simpsons instead ... no, that would be sane.
1652 CST - I'm back. To update events that I've neglected in favor of an oral progress report concerning ergonomic shortcomings in 1 Kildee Hall:
- Tim is jealous of this blog. Or at least that's how I read it. Anywho, he also posted on voting. I agree.
- I have yet to be rebuked for this blog post. Freedom in Christ, baby!! ;)
- Fox News may have Brit Hume on soon, but they aroused my ire by showing that Outback commercial that rips Of Montreal. Grrrr.
- The Story County Auditor's Office is reporting that 4000 people cast their votes before 1100. This is almost twice as much as last year., Whopee?
- The Register reports that they know of few voting machine troubles, and that there is concern over early posting of returns.
1515 CST - Class time. Hopefully, I'll be back after 1700, and stuff starts happening (besides voting, which rocks).
1505 CST - Neil Cavuto just got done interviewing my former congressman, Rep. Tom Tancredo. I can hardly think of a more inflammatory politician, but I think I still regret not actually getting to vote for him.
1454 CST - I've had a fairly hard time finding any local election coverage of note this last hour (I've never been really into the local scene, but I'm slightly upset). Of interest, however, is this WSJ loose schedule of events this evening. Big deal items include the extra security around exit polling data (to be released after 1700) and the closing of polls in Iowa at 10 pm.
1358 CST - Yet another ad,this one telling me to go to SaveDarfur.org. Being a sucker for that kind of thing, I complied. That may seem slightly off-topic, but this gives me yet another opportunity to say how much I REALLY REALLY want Rick Santorum to win, beacuse he rocks the universe on issues ranging from Darfur to educating Americans about Iraq's WMDs.
1348 CST - They just showed a political ad on TV. Good thing; I was going into withdrawl.
1346 CST - Supplementary election resource recommendation: Pajamas Media compiles news and opinions better than anyone. Warning: this site will show up on x3watch reports for those that use them. It's clean.
1328 CST - This blog got to conduct an exclusive interview with celebrity guest and ardent voter Andrew Teply:
BMW - How was voting at the UDCC?
Teply - It was good. The people at the polling place didn't like it when I joked that I was too old to vote with the computer.
BMW - So you did vote with the paper ballot?
Teply - Yes.
BMW - How was that?
Teply - Not enough fiber.
BMW - Any candidate you want to endorse for our readers?
Teply - Yes. I think all Americans should support Pat Blair for County Treasurer if they vote twice.
BMW - Final question: If Batman died, would the Joker be happy?
Teply - No.
Do they give Pulitzers for irrelevancy?
1321 CST - CCCPNN has an exclusive report that this election is more about Republicans than Democrats. I'm switching back to Fox.
UPDATE: Seriously!! Except the gem was that Julian Epstein (who?) seems to think that voters are turning from Repubs 'cuz they didn't get their agenda (social security reform, etc) passed through.
1314 CST - The online Des Moines Register carries two election day stories I actually tried to read. The first is a news story concerning "voting machine snags", which is really funny, since CCCPNN is concurrently showing a lady trying and failing to feed a ballot into a scanner. I normally don't condone frivilous lawsuits, but that lady should take CNN to court. The second is David Yepsin's report of high turnout so far. Also, I now dislike the Register because their blogs sort their comments in ascending order. Weak. Whatta buncha noobs.
1305 CST - File under flipping hilarious: SoCar Gov. (and very very darkhorse Prez candidate) Mark Sanford of Sanford and Son was turned away from the polls in his hometown becaus he lacked a voter registration card. He blamed eyestrain from lighting at campaign events, but came back to vote 90 minutes later. Go lighting.
1302 CST - That's right. In case you didn't notice, I am using military time. Gotta respect my roots.
1250 CST - From Fox News: Dems & Repubs have βmore than 10,000 lawyers on guard.β (Sorry, no link)
1245 CST - Exclusive reporter Brett Michaels (my next door neighbor, not the Poison lead singer) is reporting that Harry Reid has conceded that the Dems will not win the House, and the election now comes down to the Senate. Color me skeptical. Harry Reid said it, so it's got to be wrong. Also, that appears counter-intuitive, since the Senate is perceived as safer for Repubs than the House.
UPDATE: I cannot at this time corroborate the report, but in a fit of silliness, decided to publish it anyway. File under prophecy.
UPDATE II: This item now appears to be an obvious bit of silliness. I apologize for being silly. It will happen repeatedly.
1242 CST - Somebody made a movie about Robert Kennedy. I'm speechless. Maybe it should be thrown out that movies about killing politicians have not done well recently.
1234 CST - So I'm often asked the question, "what are you smoking, man?", which I roughly translate as, "where do you get your inspiriation to semi-live blog something as mundane as a midterm election with trademark thuroughness and fairness?" Honestly, it's a little nerdiness, a little procrastinating, but mostly, it's Turner Classic Movies, which last night graced the television with a late showing of 1776, the greatest, and perhaps only, movie about the 2nd Continental Congress starring Mr. Feeny from Boy Meets World. For a native Brooklynite playing a Massachusettser (John Adams), Williams Daniels sings fairly well. Molasses to rum ... to SLAVES!!
1232 CST - What do President Bush and Megan Blair have in common? They really want you to vote. (The Prez's sentiments are courtesy of CCCPNN, or CNN to the moderates out there).
1227 CST - Pat Blair said a bunch of stuff. I agree.
1214 CST - Fox News just had Rick Santorum on the tube. He played on his national security credentials (decent enough), but I think that this is one of two cantidates outside of Iowa that I REALLY want to see win, as much as Rick looks to be out of reach of Bob Casey. Despite the fact that Casey, as far as I can tell, is the only pro-life Dem running for Senator, Santorum is the catalyst in the Senate for legislation aimed at reasonable solutions to poverty and AIDS globally.
1213 CST - So many people people enjoy my semi-live SOTU blog (I enjoyed it at least) that I decided to try it again for these Midterm elections. It is quasi-live in that while I will be posting as I write bulletins instead of all at once after the fact(the slower pace of the day as opposed to blogging an hour specch on all of US policy helps), I may be posting only sporadically depending upon the frequency of news releases and class.